Hi Aaron,
what surprises me is that you don't make any statement whether you think this is good or bad news and whether they will have a real shot at being serious competition for Google. What's your guess?
As a person who has studied search for many years I thought I would analyze how I thought a Microsoft acquisition of Yahoo could change online publishing and internet marketing strategy and business models. This post assumes that the purchase goes through with Yahoo's board and regulators, and that the underlying search architecture and ad platform of Microsoft is used rather than Yahoo's current mess.
Short term I believe this acquisition is about gaining momentum in the US market. But Yahoo is strong in Japan. They also have significant market coverage in Spain, South Korea, and China. Microsoft has notable search share in some European countries. Both have about 4% marketshare in the UK. You can learn more about international search by downloading this 2007 Global Search Report [PDF].
I think a solid strategy going forward for Microsoft to gain search share in foreign markets is for them to offer their operating system free or at a reduced price for bundling search in the desktop. They already give away operating systems in exchange for feedback or exposure.
If the Microsoft purchase of Yahoo clears, expect Google to start distributing a Google flavored version of Ubuntu to the general public before the year is out. Inside of 5 years Microsoft's operating system will be free or irrelevant.
If you want to read the documents that started Microsoft's major push toward web search they are here and here.
Danny Sullivan offers some great coverage of the deal here
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Hi Aaron,
what surprises me is that you don't make any statement whether you think this is good or bad news and whether they will have a real shot at being serious competition for Google. What's your guess?
I think they will probably fumble it quite a bit, but this and other moves should start giving Google a bit of competition that improves the respect information aggregation companies give webmasters.
Great article Aaron. Provided some useful insight.
Combined with this -another change coming that I noticed yesterday.
ICANN has decided to discourage the practice of 5 days domain tasting. I think that would give SEO domainers more chances to compete. Combined with coming recession and credit crunch, it's likely to create more opportunities for quality domains to come into the market. Further, MSN+Yahoo may give SEO domainers another reason to be bullish on SEO domaining. Looks like a good start for 2008.
I would caution that as more people start leveraging domains and the signal of quality goes down Google could easily pull a little weight off of them and then look at other signs of brand legitimacy to give a similar boost.
Best round-up I have seen, Aaron. I'd want to know the answer to Patrick's question, too -- do you think they will be able to legitimately threaten Google's position?
Hi David
I think that they probably will not beat Google at search (as much a branding issue as anything else honestly), but they can win enough marketshare to help keep Google more honest.
Hey Aaron,
Once again I was able to count on you to give me some quick good insight into current search engine news. Thanks a ton. I have a questions. I noticed you have all your blog posts under the root area of your site (i.e. they are just /post-title) instead of under /blog/post-title. Is this for SEO purposes? Or just how it worked out? If it is SEO how would Microsoft's search engine respond to it.
Thanks,
Matt
I don't suppose I would gain anything out of putting blog in all the URLs. Drupal allows you to configure if you want to put a path in all your URLs or not.
You really think Microsoft's Search and PPC products are better than Yahoo's? Have to disagree there.
I find Yahoo search much harder to manipulate and more relevant than MS. To me, that means it's the more advanced algo.
Panama isn't perfect, but it's a huge improvement over Adcenter. Microsoft's user-interface, reports, and layout drive me crazy. Some of their biz decisions, like disallowing extremely relevant keywords, then spamming customers about it really make me question their ability to manage a combined system.
I find Yahoo search much harder to manipulate and more relevant than MS. To me, that means it's the more advanced algo.
If you just posted your content on an authority domain and pointed a few links at the page you would see the Yahoo algorithm is not that advanced.
Lots of junk tag pages that have no utility to general internet searchers rank high in Yahoo!'s current relevancy "algorithm". :)
It surprises me to see you refer to Yahoo's index as being stale. I have found the complete opposite, with Microsoft being the search engine found wanting...
Out of 500ish pages on 3 sites, Microsoft only has about 60 of them indexed, while Yahoo has all of them, plus some, (damn dups... heeh j/k).
I really hope that if the buyout does happen, they end up using Yahoo's index. MS has what, 9% of the search market? Maybe because they only have 9% of the Internet indexed. ;) Yahoo's SiteExplorer is leaps and bounds ahead of Live Tools, and even on par with Google because of the great back link details Yahoo provides.
I like Microsoft, as an OS. I run XP, with IE7, and MS Office 2003, (soon 2007), but web-wise, I think the best thing they could do is bring Yahoo to their campus, and not intergrate, but use exclusively.
These are definately going to be some exiting times ahead, and thank goodness I will only have to optimize for 2, not 3.
I think Yahoo! is good at indexing lots of content, but is poor at
realizing that user generated content on authority sites is often garbage
Kind of like the relationship between Google and Wikipedia?
heeh.
Aaron:
I'd be curious to see you blog your impression of Google's official response to the takeover bid (which they seem to term as "hostile" (?))
They commented on the Google Blog here
Really well written piece Aaron and also thanks to Geordie for that Google link, very interesting that they chose to post that considering everything that is in the air at the moment regarding freedom on the net.
I agree that it will force Google to become a little more competitive and flexible but I also agree with Google's own comments that M$ controlling that many email and IM accounts is scary.
How long before MSN and Yahoo search only rank asp sites?
I knew you would comment on this, of course you would. But a good article like this one takes time to write, so I guess that's why it didn't come out early. I saw the same thing on other SEO websites. Congrats! Good job.
Aaron, I decided to have a little fun not quite at your expense, but brought it back to this particular post. :)
Have a good one...
http://www.youfoundjake.com/2008/02/04/unless-youre-aaron-wall-does-it-r...
Great article, Aaron. I was almost going to miss it due to some issue with google rss reader (or with your feed?).
I definitely think the deal will be good for webmasters if it happens. Yes, Microsoft may become a bit too powerful, but better have two big players than one oppressor.
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